Skip to main content

The Truth

"The Truth is Out There." Obviously, it is there and everyday we seek to find it. But being an analyst, I find myself searching it more harder then others. Every time you look into graphs and numbers,  you seem to see certain pattern in it and it almost becomes an obsession. But time and again, I keep asking myself, if there is anything like an absolute truth, I mean THE TRUTH. 

The hidden truth is always waiting to be revealed, in form of numbers or graphs. It is an amazing feeling that you get, when you certainly figure out the truth. You say, "AAh! So that is why?" 

This small enlightened gives a certain amount of happiness in you. That is the nature of Truth. But why am I saying all these things, what does it has to do with an engineering problem in analytics. Well a lot, actually.

Long time back, when I was attending a presentation on Design of Complex Circuit by one of the lead designer of HP, he told us that the engineers working in the field of MIXER design is never going to be unemployed. The reason was that the MIXER design is full of problems that will never be solved completely. The field of Analytics is similar, no matter how many truths or patterns we find in our data, we are never going to have the complete truth. Thereafter, Analyst will also never be out of job. MMM! thats cool. But that's not my point.

There is more to be said. I am not concerned about the job opportunities, what I am pointing is that the analysis made by an analyst have a very short life. Therefore, every time a new data has to be processed to find a new trend and thus make a new model based on these new observation. But why does that happen?

The main reason is that the variable we choose has uncountable factors affecting them and when we analyse it, only a few are chosen. The nature of the behaviour that we see in graph is impossible to be explained with 100% confidence level. Otherwise, till now, we would have all truth and we would have been able to predict almost everything, but NO, we haven't, and we won't, but we will keep trying. May be that Super or Grand model is waiting to be revealed. This is the similar case as with the grand M-theory in Physics. 
 
One of my favourite icon Richard Feynman, a physicist, had told that searching for a truth is like watching a chess game but with out knowing the rules of the game, so with each new move, you find new rule and a new truth. So after observing for a long time, you finally know the game, but in real world the rules keep on changing and the move is rather very complex. Therefore, for each new truth or rule to be  discovered, an event has to occur, an event whose probability of occurrence is almost ZERO. This makes the thing even more interesting because we are almost uncertain if there is any new truth to be discovered.

Did I sound very complex, I hope not. I was just trying to explain the nature of analytics and nothing more. Lets me know how I did?
 


Labels:

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Good Ad Versus Bad Ad

At InRev , for past few days we have been working on our new project. The project is about collaborative blogging, from the blogger around the world. As Bhupendra and I have been blogging for long time, with his immense experience, our team has been working to revamp the globalthoughtz and create a new blogging experience. In this site, we are planning to add a section where people can add their advertisement. We thought lets start by our own :), with already so many products on the line, it was obvious. So there goes an effort to create a small 128 px by 128 px logo. If you are a designer, you know that designing is a very time consuming process. For hours, you just test around with colors. Remember there are 256 X 256 X 256 combination of colors!! Its hard job selecting one. Lets start with F-Cube : In short F-cube is a Free Economic Reporting Site. Let me exhibit some Ad made for it and its pros and cons. (Please don't click on the image. Wait till the end. Thank You) OK, h...
8 comments
Read more

Bruce Lee

Yes. Bruce Lee . Remember all the punches and kicks in his all time hits movies. But why am I talking about him. Am I going to talk about his movies? No, I am not. I am going to say about his philosophies which have been so many times projected in his fighting styles. By the way, he also wrote a book. Many may not know but he had a unique way of thinking about the life and his art of fighting. Let me put forwards his thinking, in my own words.   He believed in efficiency and rejected any amount of redundancy that affected the performance. He believed that there is no one style which is correct. Everyone has their own unique way and must harness those skills rather waste their time in doing something that is not efficient at all.  There are many fighting styles carrying their own norms and values. Every style starts by assuming something. But slowly those assumption are taken as a Gospel truth, and people make them into rules which cannot be broken. But, without understanding the key me...
5 comments
Read more

Being an Artist and Being an Entrepreneur is almost similar

Most people flock to big cities to pursue their dreams and struggle for years. Some people succeed but many still find themselves waiting for the opportunities. They consider that opportunity is the biggest thing that can actually leverage their talent or skill. But I believe that it is not always so. There are couple of examples that proves that opportunity along is not everything. Moreover in today’s media hyped world, opportunities are everywhere from a reality TV shows to your own youtube channel, twitter account or facebook profile. If you look around in youtube, there are lots of artists doing great with their skills and scaling them to offline. This gives a lot of encouragement to all those people who want to pursue their passion. But there is a reality beyond pursuing your dreams that everyone considers once in a while. It’s how far you can take yourself with what you have. Most people get stuck on it and lose their passion in mid way, and some people simply cannot go beyon...
4 comments
Read more